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Arc FDV above ___ one day after launch?

The market resolves based on arc's fully diluted valuation one day after its launch.

PolymarketPolymarket$347 traded 24hEnds Jan 1, 2028

Outcomes

Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted

OutcomeChance24hPolymarketPolymarket
$3B35%35¢
$500M72%73¢
$800M70%75¢
$1B62%63¢
$2B57%71¢
$4B23%24¢
$5B23%23¢
$7B12%16.7¢
$10B4%5.9¢
$20B1%1.5¢

$3B

35%

Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks

Discussion

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