Tread FDV above ___ one day after launch?

The market resolves based on the fully diluted valuation of Tread one day after its launch.

Polymarket$8.9K traded 24hEnds Jan 1, 2028

Outcomes

Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted

Outcome	Chance	24h	Polymarket
$500M	<1%	−2¢	0.5¢
$40M	58%	+9¢	66¢
$400M	<1%	−3¢	0.5¢
$100M	6%	—	6¢
$150M	1%	—	1.8¢
$20M	87%	—	94¢
$200M	1%	—	2.2¢
$5M	98%	—	99.7¢
$80M	7%	—	9¢
$300M	1%	—	1¢

<1%

−2¢

Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks

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