
Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 76% | — | 76¢ | ||
| Anthropic | 11% | — | 11.7¢ | |
| OpenAI | 9% | — | 10.4¢ | |
| Meta | 4% | — | 6.9¢ | |
| Moonshot | 2% | — | 1.9¢ | |
| Z.ai | 1% | — | 2¢ | |
| Alibaba | 1% | — | 1.2¢ | |
| SpaceXAI | 1% | — | 1.1¢ | |
| Baidu | <1% | — | 0.5¢ | |
| ByteDance | <1% | — | 0.5¢ | |
| DeepSeek | <1% | — | 0.5¢ | |
| Tencent | <1% | — | 0.4¢ | |
| Xiaomi | <1% | — | 0.2¢ | |
| Meituan | <1% | — | 0.1¢ | |
| Amazon | <1% | — | 0.1¢ | |
| Microsoft | <1% | — | 0.1¢ | |
| MiniMax | <1% | — | 0.1¢ | |
| Mistral | <1% | — | 0.1¢ | |
| Nvidia | <1% | — | 0.1¢ | |
| StepFun | <1% | — | 0.1¢ |
76%
—Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks
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