
Will there be a power grid emergency before October 1?
The market resolves based on whether a power grid emergency occurs in any specified US region before October 1.
Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Central US (SPP) | 8% | — | 10.3¢ | |
| New York (NYISO) | 8% | — | 8¢ | |
| Texas (ERCOT) | 6% | — | 6¢ | |
| California (CAISO) | 3% | — | 4¢ | |
| Mid-Atlantic (PJM) | 2% | — | 2¢ | |
| New England (ISO-NE) | 1% | — | 1.4¢ |
Central US (SPP)
8%
—Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks
Discussion
Posts and calls about this event
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