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Will there be a power grid emergency before October 1?

The market resolves based on whether a power grid emergency occurs in any specified US region before October 1.

PolymarketPolymarketEnds Oct 1, 2026

Outcomes

Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted

OutcomeChance24hPolymarketPolymarket
Central US (SPP)8%10.3¢
New York (NYISO)8%
Texas (ERCOT)6%
California (CAISO)3%
Mid-Atlantic (PJM)2%
New England (ISO-NE)1%1.4¢

Central US (SPP)

8%

Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks

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