Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h |  Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34% | — | 35¢ | ||
| OpenAI | 26% | — | 28¢ | |
| Anthropic | 23% | — | 24¢ | |
| Alibaba | 4% | — | 5¢ | |
| Baidu | 2% | — | 4.4¢ | |
| Moonshot | 1% | — | 1.6¢ | |
| Z.ai | 1% | — | 1.3¢ | |
| DeepSeek | 1% | — | 1¢ | |
| Meta | 1% | — | 0.9¢ | |
| SpaceXAI | 1% | — | 0.8¢ | |
| ByteDance | 1% | — | 0.9¢ | |
| Meituan | 1% | — | 0.9¢ | |
| Xiaomi | 1% | — | 0.9¢ | |
| StepFun | <1% | — | 0.4¢ | |
| Amazon | <1% | — | 0.2¢ | |
| Microsoft | <1% | — | 0.2¢ | |
| Tencent | <1% | — | 0.2¢ | |
| MiniMax | <1% | — | 0.1¢ | |
| Mistral | <1% | — | 0.1¢ | |
| Nvidia | <1% | — | 0.1¢ |
34%
—Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks
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