
Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 54% | — | 54¢ | ||
| Meta | 25% | — | 26¢ | |
| Anthropic | 14% | — | 15¢ | |
| OpenAI | 4% | — | 5.5¢ | |
| SpaceXAI | 3% | — | 6.2¢ | |
| Alibaba | 3% | — | 5.5¢ | |
| Z.ai | 2% | — | 3.3¢ | |
| Thinky | 1% | — | 2.3¢ | |
| Moonshot | 1% | — | 1.9¢ | |
| Baidu | 1% | — | 1.8¢ | |
| DeepSeek | 1% | — | 1.6¢ | |
| Microsoft | 1% | — | 0.9¢ | |
| ByteDance | 1% | — | 0.9¢ | |
| Nvidia | 1% | — | 0.9¢ | |
| StepFun | 1% | — | 0.9¢ | |
| Tencent | 1% | — | 0.9¢ | |
| Amazon | 1% | — | 0.9¢ | |
| Meituan | 1% | — | 0.9¢ | |
| Mistral | 1% | — | 0.9¢ | |
| Xiaomi | 1% | — | 0.9¢ | |
| MiniMax | <1% | — | 0.7¢ |
54%
—Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks
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