
Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthropic | 86% | — | 86¢ | |
| 7% | — | 8.5¢ | ||
| Meta | 6% | — | 8¢ | |
| OpenAI | 3% | — | 4.8¢ | |
| Alibaba | 1% | — | 0.9¢ | |
| Moonshot | 1% | — | 0.9¢ | |
| Z.ai | 1% | — | 0.9¢ | |
| Baidu | 1% | — | 0.9¢ | |
| ByteDance | 1% | — | 0.9¢ | |
| Meituan | 1% | — | 0.9¢ | |
| MiniMax | 1% | — | 0.9¢ | |
| Nvidia | 1% | — | 0.9¢ | |
| Tencent | 1% | — | 0.9¢ | |
| Thinky | 1% | — | 0.9¢ | |
| Microsoft | <1% | — | 0.7¢ | |
| StepFun | <1% | — | 0.7¢ | |
| Xiaomi | <1% | — | 0.7¢ | |
| Amazon | <1% | — | 0.5¢ | |
| SpaceXAI | <1% | — | 0.5¢ | |
| DeepSeek | <1% | — | 0.4¢ | |
| Mistral | <1% | — | 0.2¢ |
Anthropic
86%
—Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks
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