Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h |  Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35% | — | 35¢ | ||
| Meta | 32% | — | 33¢ | |
| Anthropic | 16% | — | 16¢ | |
| OpenAI | 10% | — | 11¢ | |
| Z.ai | 6% | — | 12¢ | |
| Alibaba | 5% | — | 9.3¢ | |
| ByteDance | 5% | — | 8.9¢ | |
| SpaceXAI | 1% | — | 1.3¢ | |
| Amazon | 1% | — | 0.7¢ | |
| Moonshot | 1% | — | 0.9¢ | |
| Baidu | 1% | — | 0.8¢ | |
| DeepSeek | 1% | — | 0.8¢ | |
| Mistral | <1% | — | 0.7¢ | |
| Nvidia | <1% | — | 0.8¢ | |
| Xiaomi | <1% | — | 0.7¢ | |
| Microsoft | <1% | — | 0.7¢ | |
| Tencent | <1% | — | 0.7¢ | |
| Thinky | <1% | — | 0.7¢ | |
| MiniMax | <1% | — | 0.4¢ | |
| StepFun | <1% | — | 0.2¢ | |
| Meituan | <1% | — | 0.1¢ |
35%
—Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks
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