Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h |  Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31% | — | 31¢ | ||
| Meta | 30% | — | 34¢ | |
| OpenAI | 10% | — | 10.1¢ | |
| Alibaba | 7% | — | 9¢ | |
| Anthropic | 6% | — | 10.4¢ | |
| Mistral | 6% | — | 9.8¢ | |
| Moonshot | 5% | — | 8.8¢ | |
| Z.ai | 4% | — | 8¢ | |
| Baidu | 4% | — | 7¢ | |
| SpaceXAI | 3% | — | 5.3¢ | |
| DeepSeek | 1% | — | 1.1¢ | |
| Xiaomi | 1% | — | 0.9¢ | |
| ByteDance | 1% | — | 1¢ | |
| Amazon | 1% | — | 0.9¢ | |
| Tencent | 1% | — | 0.9¢ | |
| Thinky | 1% | — | 0.9¢ | |
| Meituan | 1% | — | 0.7¢ | |
| Microsoft | 1% | — | 0.9¢ | |
| MiniMax | 1% | — | 0.9¢ | |
| Nvidia | 1% | — | 0.9¢ | |
| StepFun | <1% | — | 0.4¢ |
31%
—Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks
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