Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
The market resolves based on the minimum Arctic sea ice extent recorded this summer.
Polymarket$120 traded 24hEnds Sep 30, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.4-4.6m sq km | 97% | — | 97.8¢ | |
| 4.2-4.4m sq km | 2% | — | 2.8¢ | |
| 4.0-4.2m sq km | 2% | — | 2.8¢ | |
| <4m sq km | 1% | — | 1.5¢ | |
| 4.6-4.8m sq km | <1% | — | 0.3¢ | |
| 4.8-5m sq km | <1% | — | 0.3¢ | |
| 5m+ sq km | <1% | — | 0.2¢ |
4.4-4.6m sq km
97%
—Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks
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