Measles cases in U.S. by September 30?

The market resolves based on the total number of measles cases in the U.S. by September 30.

Polymarket$174 traded 24hEnds Sep 30, 2026

Outcomes

Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted

Outcome	Chance	24h	Polymarket
3700+	18%	—	19¢
3600+	30%	—	49¢
3300+	99%	—	99.8¢
3400+	99%	—	99.8¢
3500+	95%	—	95.4¢
3800+	5%	—	8¢
4000+	4%	—	6.7¢

18%

—

Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks

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