Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h |  Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US bank failure by December 31, 2026? | 61% | — | 78¢ |
US bank failure by December 31, 2026?
61%
—Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks
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