September 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
The global temperature increase in September 2026, measured in Celsius, determines the outcome.
Polymarket$2 traded 24hEnds Oct 9, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.40–1.44ºC | 42% | — | 77¢ | |
| 1.35–1.39ºC | 41% | — | 75¢ | |
| <1.30ºC | 40% | — | 75¢ | |
| 1.45–1.49ºC | 25% | — | 44¢ | |
| 1.30–1.34ºC | 12% | — | 17¢ | |
| >1.49ºC | 12% | — | 20¢ |
1.40–1.44ºC
42%
—Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks
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