First snow of the 2026 season

The market resolves based on which city experiences its first snow of the 2026 season by a specified date.

Polymarket$44 traded 24hEnds Nov 3, 2026

Outcomes

Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted

Outcome	Chance	24h	Polymarket
Minneapolis, MN by November 15	88%	—	90¢
Detroit, MI by November 30	86%	—	90¢
Salt Lake City, UT by November 15	67%	—	83¢
Indianapolis, IN by November 30	>99%	—	99.8¢
Denver, CO by November 30	99%	—	99.8¢
Buffalo, NY by November 30	94%	—	97.1¢
Minneapolis, MN by November 30	94%	—	94¢
Indianapolis, IN by November 15	91%	—	92¢
Philadelphia, PA by November 30	87%	—	88¢
Salt Lake City, UT by November 30	87%	—	88¢
Boston, MA by November 30	84%	—	84¢
Cincinnati, OH by November 30	83%	—	83¢
Detroit, MI by November 15	82%	—	87¢
Chicago, IL by November 15	80%	—	81¢
Pittsburgh, PA by November 30	77%	—	77¢
St. Louis, MO by November 30	75%	—	75¢
Denver, CO by November 15	74%	—	98.7¢
New York City, NY by November 30	68%	—	68¢
Chicago, IL by November 30	67%	—	89¢
Buffalo, NY by November 15	66%	—	92¢
Denver, CO by October 31	62%	—	96¢
Kansas City, MO by November 30	62%	—	96¢
Pittsburgh, PA by November 15	58%	—	89¢
Buffalo, NY by October 31	56%	—	93¢
Boston, MA by November 15	56%	—	88¢
Salt Lake City, UT by October 31	56%	—	89¢
Minneapolis, MN by October 31	54%	—	90¢
Kansas City, MO by November 15	50%	—	89¢
Dallas, TX by November 30	43%	—	81¢
Washington, DC by November 30	43%	—	43¢
Nashville, TN by November 30	28%	—	29¢

88%

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Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks

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