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How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

The market resolves based on how low the 5-year Treasury yield gets before 2027.

PolymarketPolymarket$557 traded 24hEnds Dec 30, 2026

Outcomes

Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted

OutcomeChance24hPolymarketPolymarket
Below 4.35%39%51¢
Below 4.45%34%35¢
Below 4.40%31%39¢
Below 4.50%33%50¢
Below 4.30%23%24¢
Below 4.25%14%15¢
Below 4.10%12%12¢
Below 4.20%9%9.9¢
Below 4.00%9%

Below 4.35%

39%

Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks

Discussion

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