Kalshi · Elections

Will a Democrat win the House race for IL-17?

Chance

94%

Buy Yes

94.9¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

7.6¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Vol 24h

$500

as Kalshi reports it · 2 fills

Spread

3¢

round tripThin

Prices from Kalshi, updated 14 minutes ago. Ends Nov 3, 3:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks

Cost of a Yes share

Order book

Top five levels, polled · updated 3 minutes ago

Buy Yes (bids)

92.4¢15$14
92.1¢8$7
92¢500$460
90.4¢1,400$1.3K
60¢1,315$789

Sell Yes (asks)

94.9¢35$33
95¢820$779
96¢10$10
98¢244$239
98.1¢457$448

Spread: 3¢
Mid: 93.7¢
Microprice: 93.2¢
Within 5¢: $1.7K · $57

More money on NoImbalance +94%More money on Yes

Latest trades

4 hours agoSold yes at 95¢$285
4 hours agoSold yes at 94.9¢$190

Rules

How this market is decided

Settled by Library of Congress. Contract terms (PDF)

If the House member sworn in for IL-17 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Rule history

First recordedNo changes since.Sep 14, 5:30 PM UTC