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KalshiKalshi· Financials

Will the 10-year minus 2-year Treasury spread be above 1.00% between Issuance and December 31, 2026?

Pays out if the result is above 1.

Chance

35%

Buy Yes

35¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

66¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 7 minutes ago. Ends Dec 31, 9:59 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • yesterdaySold yes at 29¢$6
  • yesterdaySold yes at 29¢$12
  • yesterdayBought no at 78¢$44
  • yesterdayBought no at 77¢$1
  • yesterdaySold yes at 32¢$16
  • yesterdaySold yes at 32¢$2
How this market is decidedShow

If the FRED T10Y2Y series (10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Minus 2-Year Treasury Constant Maturity), measured in percent (not seasonally adjusted), on any daily observation dated between Issuance and Dec 31, 2026 (inclusive), is above 1.00%, then the market resolves to Yes. Please note that intraday changes will not be reflected in the Underlying, as FRED only posts a single value per day.