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KalshiKalshi· Financials

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.09% by Sep 30, 2026?

Pays out if the result is above 5.09.

Chance

15%

Buy Yes

27¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

97¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 11 minutes ago. Ends Sep 30, 7:30 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Related markets

Latest trades

  • 21 hours agoSold yes at 29¢$13
  • 21 hours agoSold yes at 28¢$2
  • 22 hours agoSold yes at 27¢$11
  • 22 hours agoBought no at 60¢$10
  • 23 hours agoBought no at 74¢$74
  • 23 hours agoSold yes at 25¢$1
  • 23 hours agoSold yes at 25¢$1
  • yesterdaySold yes at 22¢$22
  • yesterdaySold yes at 24¢$5
  • yesterdaySold yes at 21¢$21
How this market is decidedShow

If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.09% on any business day between Sep 14, 2026 and Sep 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This market covers the period between Sep 14, 2026 and Sep 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. The first published value for each business day governs unless the Exchange determines a material error prior to that strike's expiration. If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire by 7:00 PM ET on the first business day after the final daily value of the period is published, or one week after the period ends, whichever comes first.