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KalshiKalshi· Economics

Will the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Sep 17, 2026 be above 6.85%?

Pays out if the result is above 6.85.

Chance

94%

Buy Yes

95¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 10 minutes ago. Ends Sep 17, 3:59 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 5 hours agoSold yes at 90¢$45
  • 5 hours agoSold yes at 90¢$178
  • 21 hours agoSold yes at 89¢$25
  • yesterdayBought no at 17¢$3
  • yesterdayBought no at 16¢$1
  • yesterdaySold yes at 86¢$18
  • yesterdaySold yes at 86¢$86
  • yesterdaySold yes at 86¢$25
  • yesterdaySold yes at 83¢$697
  • yesterdaySold yes at 83¢$1
How this market is decidedShow

If the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Sep 17, 2026 is above 6.85%, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the 30-Year Fixed-Rate Mortgage national average published by Freddie Mac in its Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS) for Sep 17, 2026. For a standard Thursday publication, the weekly measurement period runs from 12:00 a.m. ET on the preceding Thursday through 11:59 p.m. ET on Wednesday. The resulting national average is published Thursday at 12:00 p.m. ET. This market will use Freddie Mac's first published PMMS value for the specified week. Subsequent corrections or revisions made after expiration will not affect resolution.