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Will the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Sep 24, 2026 be above 6.95%?

Pays out if the result is above 6.95.

Chance

68%

Buy Yes

68¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

33¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Vol 24h

—

as Kalshi reports it

Spread

1¢

round tripThin

Prices from Kalshi, updated 5 minutes ago. Ends Sep 24, 3:59 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share
Order book
Top five levels, polled · updated 5 minutes ago

Buy Yes (bids)

  • 67¢1,093$732
  • 64¢200$128
  • 63¢100$63
  • 25¢1$0
  • 19¢2$0

Sell Yes (asks)

  • 68¢440$299
  • 71¢100$71
  • 90¢243$219
  • 91¢753$685
  • 92¢2$2
Spread
1¢
Mid
67.5¢
Microprice
67.7¢
Within 5¢
$923 · $170
More money on NoImbalance +69%More money on Yes

Rules

How this market is decided
Settled by Freddie Mac, Federal Reserve Bank of New York. Contract terms (PDF)

If the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Sep 24, 2026 is above 6.95%, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the 30-Year Fixed-Rate Mortgage national average published by Freddie Mac in its Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS) for Sep 24, 2026. For a standard Thursday publication, the weekly measurement period runs from 12:00 a.m. ET on the preceding Thursday through 11:59 p.m. ET on Wednesday. The resulting national average is published Thursday at 12:00 p.m. ET. This market will use Freddie Mac's first published PMMS value for the specified week. Subsequent corrections or revisions made after expiration will not affect resolution.

Rule history

  1. First recordedNo changes since.

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