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KalshiKalshi· Politics

Will Samuel Alito retires the Supreme Court in before 2027?

Chance

6%

Buy Yes

6.4¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

94.9¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 14 minutes ago. Ends Jan 1, 4:59 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 3 hours agoSold yes at 8¢$0
  • 3 hours agoSold yes at 7.9¢$1
  • 6 hours agoBought no at 94.9¢$16
  • 19 hours agoBought no at 94.9¢$11
  • 20 hours agoSold yes at 6.5¢$1
  • 20 hours agoSold yes at 6.5¢$0
  • 20 hours agoSold yes at 7.9¢$1
  • 20 hours agoSold yes at 8¢$8
  • yesterdaySold yes at 5.5¢$0
  • yesterdaySold yes at 5.4¢$0
How this market is decidedShow

If Samuel Alito retires as Supreme Court Justice before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. The resolution is based on the effective date of the resignation. If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.