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KalshiKalshi· Elections

Will CDU win the 2026 Berlin state election?

Chance

24%

Buy Yes

24¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

77¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 10 minutes ago. Ends Sep 20, 2:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 7 hours agoSold yes at 24¢$1
  • 16 hours agoBought no at 77¢$76
  • 23 hours agoBought no at 77¢$1
  • yesterdaySold yes at 24¢$18
  • yesterdaySold yes at 25¢$4
  • yesterdayBought no at 78¢$5
  • yesterdayBought no at 77¢$9
  • yesterdayBought no at 77¢$11
  • yesterdayBought no at 78¢$23
  • yesterdayBought no at 77¢$23
How this market is decidedShow

If CDU wins the 2026 Berlin state election, then the market resolves to Yes. For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No. This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.