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KalshiKalshi· Politics

Will Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House after the 2026 midterms AND hold 51 or more seats in the Senate after the 2026 midterms?

Chance

41%

Buy Yes

42¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

60¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 5 minutes ago. Ends Feb 1, 3:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 2 minutes agoSold yes at 43¢$0
  • 2 minutes agoSold yes at 43¢$21
  • 3 minutes agoSold yes at 42¢$3
  • 3 minutes agoSold yes at 42¢$6
  • 31 minutes agoBought no at 59¢$90
  • 31 minutes agoBought no at 59¢$22
  • 31 minutes agoBought no at 59¢$0
  • 31 minutes agoBought no at 59¢$0
  • 31 minutes agoBought no at 60¢$125
  • 31 minutes agoBought no at 60¢$14
How this market is decidedShow

If ALL of the following occur: Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House after the 2026 midterms AND Democrats hold 51 or more seats in the Senate after the 2026 midterms, then the market resolves to Yes. This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: "Will Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House?" uses SEATSCONGRESS, "Will Democrats hold 51 or more seats in the Senate?" uses SEATSCONGRESS. For economic data releases, resolution uses the first officially released value (not preliminary or revised estimates unless specified). All conditions must be satisfied within the specified time period. This market will resolve based on the composition of the U.S. House of Representatives and the Senate on February 1, 2027. Individuals caucusing with either party will be included with them (e.g. an Independent who caucuses with a party, like Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders who caucuses with the Democrats, would be counted as a Democrat).