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KalshiKalshi· Crypto

Will Bitcoin be above $200000 by Jan 1, 2027 at 11:59PM ET?

Pays out if the result is above 200,000.

Chance

3%

Buy Yes

3¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

98¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 2 minutes ago. Ends Jan 1, 5:00 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 7 minutes agoSold yes at 3¢$0
  • 8 minutes agoBought no at 98¢$10
  • 10 minutes agoSold yes at 3¢$0
  • 10 minutes agoBought no at 98¢$10
  • 26 minutes agoSold yes at 3¢$4
  • 36 minutes agoBought no at 98¢$236
  • 36 minutes agoSold yes at 3¢$1
  • 43 minutes agoSold yes at 3¢$0
  • 47 minutes agoSold yes at 3¢$0
  • 53 minutes agoSold yes at 3¢$0
How this market is decidedShow

If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is above $200000 starting 2025-10-10 and before Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves based on the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) using a trimmed mean calculation. The resolution value is calculated by taking all BRTI values for each minute from market issuance until the specified time on the target date, removing the top 20% and bottom 20% of values, then averaging the remaining 60% of values. If the BRTI crosses the threshold at any point during the measurement period (triggering early expiration), the market immediately resolves. If no data is available at the expiration time, the market resolves to No. The market can resolve early if Bitcoin definitively crosses the threshold before the target date and time.