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KalshiKalshi· Crypto

Will Bitcoin be above $199,999.99 by Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET?

Pays out if the result is above 199,999.99.

Chance

2%

Buy Yes

3¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

99¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 2 minutes ago. Ends Jan 1, 4:59 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 12 hours agoSold yes at 3¢$0
  • 12 hours agoSold yes at 2¢$20
  • 15 hours agoBought no at 99¢$55
  • 15 hours agoBought no at 98¢$1
  • 15 hours agoBought no at 98¢$98
How this market is decidedShow

If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is above $199999.99 starting 10/01/2025 10:00 AM and before Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves based on the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) using a trimmed mean calculation. The resolution value is calculated by taking all BRTI values for each minute from market issuance until the specified time on the target date, removing the top 20% and bottom 20% of values, then averaging the remaining 60% of values. If the BRTI crosses the threshold at any point during the measurement period (triggering early expiration), the market immediately resolves. If no data is available at the expiration time, the market resolves to No. The market can resolve early if Bitcoin definitively crosses the threshold before the target date and time.