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KalshiKalshi· Crypto

Will BTC trimmed mean be below $72500.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Sep 30, 2026?

Pays out if the result is below 72,500.

Chance

57%

Buy Yes

58¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

44¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 3 minutes ago. Ends Oct 1, 3:59 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 9 minutes agoSold yes at 56¢$1
  • 10 minutes agoBought no at 47¢$24
  • 24 minutes agoBought no at 50¢$47
  • 24 minutes agoBought no at 50¢$1
  • 24 minutes agoBought no at 50¢$1
  • 42 minutes agoSold yes at 52¢$5
  • 59 minutes agoSold yes at 56¢$3
  • 1 hour agoBought no at 54¢$0
  • 1 hour agoBought no at 53¢$0
  • 1 hour agoBought no at 47¢$10
How this market is decidedShow

If the price of BTC after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Sep 30, 2026 is ever below $72500.00, then the market resolves to Yes. At each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF BRTI price for BTC. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is below the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops. The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.