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KalshiKalshi· Crypto

Will Bitcoin be above $85,000 by Oct 2, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET?

Pays out if the result is above 85,000.

Chance

14%

Buy Yes

18¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

89¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 33 seconds ago. Ends Oct 3, 3:59 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 3 hours agoBought no at 89¢$3
  • 4 hours agoSold yes at 18¢$18
  • 4 hours agoSold yes at 18¢$6
  • 4 hours agoBought no at 89¢$9
  • 4 hours agoBought no at 88¢$2
  • 5 hours agoBought no at 89¢$5
  • 7 hours agoBought no at 89¢$1
  • 21 hours agoSold yes at 20¢$93
  • 21 hours agoSold yes at 19¢$2
  • 22 hours agoBought no at 86¢$1
How this market is decidedShow

If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is above $85000 starting Aug 24, 2026 and before Oct 2, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves based on the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) using a trimmed mean calculation. The resolution value is calculated by taking all BRTI values for each minute from market issuance until the specified time on the target date, removing the top 20% and bottom 20% of values, then averaging the remaining 60% of values. If the BRTI crosses the threshold at any point during the measurement period (triggering early expiration), the market immediately resolves. If no data is available at the expiration time, the market resolves to No. The market can resolve early if Bitcoin definitively crosses the threshold before the target date and time.