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Will US building permits for September 2026 be above 1.400M?

Pays out if the result is above 1.4.

Chance

30%

Buy Yes

32¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

72¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Vol 24h

$245

as Kalshi reports it · 6 fills

Spread

4¢

round tripThin

Prices from Kalshi, updated 2 minutes ago. Ends Oct 20, 12:29 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 4 hours agoSold yes at 29¢$58
  • 7 hours agoBought no at 71¢$6
  • 8 hours agoBought no at 75¢$7
  • 10 hours agoBought no at 76¢$7
  • 10 hours agoBought no at 80¢$7
  • 10 hours agoBought no at 80¢$7

Rules

How this market is decided
Settled by Trading Economics, Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation, Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index. Contract terms (PDF)

If the value of US building permits (total units) for September 2026 is above 1.400M (SAAR), then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the first-published U.S. building permits value for September 2026, as released in the Census New Residential Construction report and reflected by Trading Economics on the initial release date. Later revised, final, or updated building permits releases, including the revised permits release approximately one week later, will not be used for resolution.

Rule history

  1. First recordedNo changes since.

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