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KalshiKalshi· Elections

Who will win the 2026 CA-04 House election?

Chance

70%

Buy Yes

72¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

33¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 14 minutes ago. Ends Nov 3, 3:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Related markets

How this market is decidedShow

If Mike Thompson wins the 2026 CA-04 House election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.