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Who will win the 2026 CA-40 House election?

Chance

68%

Buy Yes

71¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

35¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Vol 24h

—

as Kalshi reports it

Spread

6¢

round tripThin

Prices from Kalshi, updated 15 minutes ago. Ends Nov 3, 3:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Rules

How this market is decided
Settled by the California Secretary of State. Contract terms (PDF)

If Ken Calvert wins the 2026 CA-40 House election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Rule history

  1. First recordedNo changes since.

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