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KalshiKalshi· Economics

Will total FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026 be above 730,000?

Pays out if the result is above 730,000.

Chance

4%

Buy Yes

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

97¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 8 minutes ago. Ends Nov 16, 2:59 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share
How this market is decidedShow

If the California FAIR Plan reports total FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026 are above 730,000, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the point-in-time total policies in force (PIF) reported by the California FAIR Plan Association as of September 30, 2026, including residential, commercial, and Businessowner’s Program policies. This is a policy inventory, not policies written during the year or new business. The market remains open past September 30 because the September 30 policy count is published later, typically in the following quarterly data release. Resolution uses the first official September 30, 2026 figure; subsequent revisions do not affect resolution.