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KalshiKalshi· Elections

Will Conservative Party win the next Canadian federal election for the House of Commons?

Chance

38%

Buy Yes

42¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

66¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 14 minutes ago. Ends Oct 15, 2:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share
How this market is decidedShow

If Conservative Party wins the next Canadian federal election for the House of Commons, then the market resolves to Yes. For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.