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KalshiKalshi· Economics

Will the Bank of Japan Hike more than 25bps at the September 2026 Monetary Policy Meeting?

Chance

1%

Buy Yes

1¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

—

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 14 minutes ago. Ends Sep 18, 2:29 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Related markets

Latest trades

  • 14 minutes agoSold yes at 1¢$5
  • 14 minutes agoSold yes at 2¢$65
  • 46 minutes agoSold yes at 1¢$0
  • 1 hour agoSold yes at 1¢$5
  • 3 hours agoSold yes at 2¢$44
  • 4 hours agoSold yes at 2¢$22
  • 4 hours agoSold yes at 1¢$0
  • 4 hours agoBought no at 99¢$10
  • 4 hours agoBought no at 99¢$7
  • 4 hours agoSold yes at 2¢$1
How this market is decidedShow

If the Bank of Japan takes the action of Hike more than 25bps at the September 2026 Monetary Policy Meeting, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count. If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "No change" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings. The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., "25-50bp" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).