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KalshiKalshi· Economics

Will the Central Bank of the Republic of Türkiye maintain the current rate at the October Monetary Policy Committee Meeting?

Chance

67%

Buy Yes

71¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

38¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 13 minutes ago. Ends Oct 22, 10:59 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share
How this market is decidedShow

If the Central Bank of the Republic of Türkiye takes the action of maintain current rate at October Monetary Policy Committee Meeting, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count. If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "Maintain current rate" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings. The size of a rate change is calculated by comparing the policy rate announced at the meeting with the policy rate in effect immediately before the decision. One hundred basis points equals one percentage point. For example, if the previous rate is 37.00%, a new rate of 34.50% represents a 250-basis-point cut, while a new rate of 34.00% represents a 300-basis-point cut.