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KalshiKalshi· Economics

Will Chicago Fed National Activity Index for August 2026 be above -0.40?

Pays out if the result is above -0.4.

Chance

97%

Buy Yes

98¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

4¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 2 minutes ago. Ends Sep 21, 12:24 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share
How this market is decidedShow

If the Chicago Fed National Activity Index reported for for August 2026 is above -0.40, then the market resolves to Yes. The Chicago Fed National Activity Index (“CFNAI”) refers to the headline monthly index published by the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago. It does not refer to the CFNAI three-month moving average (“CFNAI-MA3”) or the CFNAI Diffusion Index. This market will resolve using the value for August 2026 published in the first Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago release that reports the August 2026 CFNAI. Subsequent revisions will not affect settlement.