Will Fabiano Caruana be rated top 5 on the FIDE World Top Players Standard Rating List in October 2026?

If Fabiano Caruana is rated top 5 on the October 2026 FIDE World Top Players (top 100 players) Standard Rating List, then the market resolves to Yes. According to FIDE regulations, when players have equal Elo ratings on the FIDE World Top Players Standard Rating List, the tiebreaking methodology is as follows: Number of rated games played - The player who has played more rated games in the rating period is ranked higher Date of birth - If the number of games is also equal, the younger player (later birth date) is ranked higher Alphabetical order by surname - If both criteria above are still tied, players are ordered alphabetically by their family name Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.