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KalshiKalshi· Politics

Will People's Republic of China agree to or announce the formal abolition of the hukou household registration system nationwide before Jan 1, 2027?

Chance

3%

Buy Yes

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

98¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 2 minutes ago. Ends Jan 1, 4:59 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 8 hours agoBought no at 98¢$1
How this market is decidedShow

If People's Republic of China agrees to or announces the formal abolition of the hukou household registration system nationwide before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. An agreement or announcement qualifies if it involves any of the following: Formal signing of treaties Parliamentary approval with binding effect Official ratification Formal commitment by the head of state/government with constitutional authority Official statements by authorized ministers Official press releases Formal declarations during government proceedings Official statements to international bodies Phased implementation announcements and multi-party agreements where the country is a signatory also qualify. The following do NOT qualify: Preliminary discussions Conditional agreements contingent on circumstances Opposition party statements Leaked documents Think-tank recommendations General aspirations without specific commitment Draft legislation without approval Regional actions (unless specified) Retraction of previously announced commitments