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Will Anthropic release Claude 6+ (any family) before Dec 31, 2027?

Chance

75%

Buy Yes

98¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

48¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Vol 24h

—

as Kalshi reports it

Spread

46¢

round tripThin

Prices from Kalshi, updated 6 minutes ago. Ends Dec 31, 4:59 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Rules

How this market is decided
Settled by Anthropic. Contract terms (PDF)

If Anthropic releases Claude 6+ (any family) before Dec 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable.

Rule history

  1. First recordedNo changes since.

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