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KalshiKalshi· Science and Technology

Will Anthropic release Opus 6 before Nov 1, 2026?

Chance

12%

Buy Yes

14¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

91¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 2 minutes ago. Ends Nov 1, 4:59 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • yesterdaySold yes at 12¢$1
  • yesterdaySold yes at 12¢$1
How this market is decidedShow

If Anthropic releases Opus 6 before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable.