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KalshiKalshi· Economics

Will year-over-year Core CPI inflation for 2026 fall below 2.2%?

Pays out if the result is below 2.2.

Chance

5%

Buy Yes

9¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

99¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 4 minutes ago. Ends Dec 10, 1:29 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 3 hours agoSold yes at 11¢$15
  • 3 hours agoSold yes at 9¢$17
  • 3 hours agoSold yes at 7¢$5
  • 3 hours agoSold yes at 6¢$6
  • 3 hours agoSold yes at 7¢$4
  • yesterdaySold yes at 5¢$5
  • yesterdaySold yes at 8¢$2
  • yesterdaySold yes at 9¢$1
  • yesterdaySold yes at 6¢$1
  • yesterdaySold yes at 6¢$1
How this market is decidedShow

If the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that year-over-year Core CPI inflation is below 2.2% in any remaining 2026 monthly CPI release after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes. This market covers only CPI releases scheduled to occur in calendar year 2026 and does not include the CPI release scheduled for January 2027, even though that release may report December 2026 data. The last covered CPI release is the November 2026 CPI release, scheduled for Thursday, December 10, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET.