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Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 4.0% for the year ending in December 2026?

Pays out if the result is above 4.

Chance

47%

Buy Yes

80¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

86¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Vol 24h

$97

as Kalshi reports it · 12 fills

Spread

66¢

round tripThin

Prices from Kalshi, updated 8 minutes ago. Ends Jan 13, 1:29 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 3 hours agoBought no at 70¢$6
  • 3 hours agoBought no at 71¢$6
  • 3 hours agoSold yes at 33¢$2
  • 4 hours agoBought no at 72¢$6
  • 4 hours agoSold yes at 22¢$0
  • 4 hours agoBought no at 70¢$6
  • 4 hours agoBought no at 74¢$7
  • 4 hours agoBought no at 74¢$7
  • 4 hours agoBought no at 74¢$7
  • 4 hours agoBought no at 77¢$7

Rules

How this market is decided
Settled by Bureau of Labor Statistics. Contract terms (PDF)

If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 4.0% in the twelve months ending December 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes. In the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the government shutdown

Rule history

  1. First recordedNo changes since.

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