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KalshiKalshi· Economics

Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.5% for the year ending in September 2026?

Pays out if the result is above 3.5.

Chance

69%

Buy Yes

72¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

35¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 13 minutes ago. Ends Oct 14, 12:29 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Related markets

Latest trades

  • 4 minutes agoSold yes at 72¢$1
  • 12 minutes agoSold yes at 72¢$3
  • 50 minutes agoBought no at 31¢$2
  • 50 minutes agoBought no at 30¢$37
  • 50 minutes agoBought no at 31¢$11
  • 52 minutes agoBought no at 29¢$1
  • 52 minutes agoBought no at 28¢$18
  • 52 minutes agoBought no at 28¢$0
  • 1 hour agoBought no at 31¢$3
  • 1 hour agoBought no at 29¢$1
How this market is decidedShow

If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 3.5% in the twelve months ending September 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes. In the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the government shutdown