Kalshi· Economics

Will SOFR be above 4.50 by end of Q4 2026?

Pays out if the result is above 4.5.

Chance

15%

Buy Yes

24¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

94¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 6 minutes ago. Ends Jan 4, 12:55 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks

Cost of a Yes share

If this happens, this happens tooWill SOFR be above 3.00 by end of Q4 2026?99¢
If this happens, this happens tooWill SOFR be above 3.25 by end of Q4 2026?99¢
If this happens, this happens tooWill SOFR be above 3.50 by end of Q4 2026?90¢
If this happens, this happens tooWill SOFR be above 3.75 by end of Q4 2026?97¢
If this happens, this happens tooWill SOFR be above 4.25 by end of Q4 2026?44¢
If this happens, yours happens tooWill SOFR be above 4.75 by end of Q4 2026?2¢

How this market is decidedShow

If the first published SOFR value corresponding to the final U.S. business-day SOFR reference date for Q4 2026 is above 4.50%, then the market resolves to Yes.

Related markets