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KalshiKalshi· Elections

Will Pete Buttigieg be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 7, 2028?

Chance

29%

Buy Yes

30¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

72¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 10 minutes ago. Ends Nov 7, 4:59 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 7 hours agoSold yes at 28¢$46
  • 7 hours agoSold yes at 27¢$6
  • 7 hours agoSold yes at 27¢$3
  • 7 hours agoSold yes at 27¢$1
  • 23 hours agoSold yes at 25¢$50
  • 23 hours agoSold yes at 25¢$1
  • 24 hours agoBought no at 79¢$3
  • 24 hours agoBought no at 78¢$0
How this market is decidedShow

If Pete Buttigieg is the first individual in this list to publicly declare their candidacy for 2028 United States presidential election after Issuance and before Nov 7, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. A declaration of candidacy requires both filing the appropriate candidacy form (Form 2 with FEC for federal elections or equivalent state/local form) AND a clear, unambiguous public statement explicitly declaring intention to seek the office. The declaration must be made directly by the person or their officially authorized representatives, explicitly reference the specific office, be publicly accessible through Source Agencies, and occur after market issuance. Formation of exploratory committees, third-party statements, media speculation, "considering" statements, private communications, or fundraising without explicit declaration do not qualify. The person must be legally eligible to hold the office under applicable constitutional and statutory requirements.