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KalshiKalshi· Economics

Will U.S. federal deficit-to-GDP for FY2026 be below 5%?

Pays out if the result is below 5.

Chance

7%

Buy Yes

9¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

95¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 7 minutes ago. Ends Oct 20, 12:29 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 2 hours agoBought no at 95¢$10
  • 23 hours agoBought no at 96¢$37
  • 23 hours agoSold yes at 2¢$0
  • 23 hours agoSold yes at 6¢$0
  • yesterdaySold yes at 2¢$1
How this market is decidedShow

If the U.S. federal budget deficit as a percentage of GDP for fiscal year 2026, as reported in the U.S. Treasury / Office of Management and Budget Joint Statement on Budget Results for Fiscal Year 2026, is below 5%, then the market resolves to Yes.