Kalshi· Economics

Will the AAA national average price for diesel in 2026 go below $5.50?

Pays out if the result is below 5.5.

Chance

30%

Buy Yes

31¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

71¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 12 minutes ago. Ends Dec 31, 4:59 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks

Cost of a Yes share

If this happens, this happens tooWill the AAA national average price for diesel in 2026 go below $5.70?46¢
If this happens, yours happens tooWill the AAA national average price for diesel in 2026 go below $3.50?48¢
If this happens, yours happens tooWill the AAA national average price for diesel in 2026 go below $3.70?3¢
If this happens, yours happens tooWill the AAA national average price for diesel in 2026 go below $3.90?80¢
If this happens, yours happens tooWill the AAA national average price for diesel in 2026 go below $4.10?58¢
If this happens, yours happens tooWill the AAA national average price for diesel in 2026 go below $4.30?6¢
If this happens, yours happens tooWill the AAA national average price for diesel in 2026 go below $4.50?5¢
If this happens, yours happens tooWill the AAA national average price for diesel in 2026 go below $4.70?48¢
If this happens, yours happens tooWill the AAA national average price for diesel in 2026 go below $4.90?5¢
If this happens, yours happens tooWill the AAA national average price for diesel in 2026 go below $5.10?10¢
If this happens, yours happens tooWill the AAA national average price for diesel in 2026 go below $5.30?18¢

How this market is decidedShow

If the AAA national average price for diesel for the US in 2026 is below $5.50, at any time from Issuance through December 31, 2026, inclusive then the market resolves to Yes. This is a touch market. If AAA publishes a qualifying value at any point during the measurement period, the applicable market may close and resolve to Yes early.

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