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KalshiKalshi· Climate and Weather

Will there be an at least 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?

Pays out if the result is 8 or more.

Chance

5%

Buy Yes

5¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

96¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 8 minutes ago. Ends Jan 1, 4:59 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 4 hours agoBought no at 96¢$48
  • 4 hours agoSold yes at 5¢$6
  • 5 hours agoBought no at 96¢$3
  • 5 hours agoBought no at 96¢$15
How this market is decidedShow

If there is at least an earthquake of 8 magnitude with an epicenter in California or its territorial waters before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.