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KalshiKalshi· Climate and Weather

Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2028?

Pays out if the result is 8 or more.

Chance

13%

Buy Yes

15¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

89¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 3 minutes ago. Ends Dec 31, 4:59 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • yesterdaySold yes at 17¢$0
  • yesterdaySold yes at 17¢$3
  • yesterdaySold yes at 18¢$3
  • yesterdaySold yes at 16¢$1
How this market is decidedShow

If there is at least an earthquake of 8.0 magnitude with an epicenter in California or its territorial waters before Dec 31, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.