Kalshi· Climate and Weather

Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in Japan before 2030?

Pays out if the result is 8 or more.

Chance

37%

Buy Yes

38¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

63¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 12 minutes ago. Ends Jan 1, 4:59 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks

Cost of a Yes share

How this market is decidedShow

If there is at least an earthquake of 8.0 magnitude with an epicenter in Japan or its territorial waters before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.