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KalshiKalshi· Economics

Will the Fed cut rates 1 times at emergency meetings?

Pays out if the result is 1 to 1.

Chance

4%

Buy Yes

4.6¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

97.4¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 12 minutes ago. Ends Jan 1, 4:59 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Related markets

Latest trades

  • 4 hours agoBought no at 97.4¢$1
  • 7 hours agoSold yes at 4.8¢$0
  • 9 hours agoSold yes at 4.8¢$0
  • 21 hours agoBought no at 98.6¢$200
  • yesterdaySold yes at 5¢$47
  • yesterdaySold yes at 5¢$27
  • yesterdaySold yes at 4¢$5
  • yesterdaySold yes at 4¢$5
  • yesterdaySold yes at 4¢$3
How this market is decidedShow

If the Fed cuts the target federal funds rate exactly 1 times at emergency meetings in 2026, the market resolves to Yes. To be clear, 25bp of cuts is equal to one cut (so 25bp cut is 1, 50bp cut is 2, 75bp cut is 3, and so on).